Market information: Trump's nominee for finance minister, Bertrand Besson, said that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell can complete his remaining term.Ferrari CEO: Some parts of electric vehicles will be produced within the company, and other parts will be produced through strategic partners.South Korean President Yin Xiyue prefers to be impeached rather than resigned. (Chosun Ilbo)
The turnover of A-shares has exceeded one trillion yuan for 50 consecutive trading days. On December 10th, the A-share market opened higher and went lower. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index and Growth Enterprise Market Index all rose less than 1%. More than 2,800 stocks in the entire A-share market rose, with more than 110 stocks trading daily, and PEEK materials, dairy industry and humanoid robots broke out. The market turnover was 2.23 trillion yuan, which has exceeded 1 trillion yuan for 50 consecutive trading days, setting a new record for the A-share market. Analysts believe that ample liquidity and optimistic policy expectations are expected to support the stock market in the New Year. The policy expectation of "stabilizing the property market and stock market" will help boost investor confidence and protect the long-term healthy development of the A-share market. (CSI)According to the Korean Chosun Ilbo, a pro-Yin Xiyue official said that the president has made up his mind to face the constitutional hearing with impeachment, instead of resigning early.The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)
The Huangmaohai Cross-sea Passage was opened to traffic today. At 15: 00 on December 11th, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area's key traffic project, the Huangmaohai Cross-sea Passage, will be put into trial operation, adding another "key level" to Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area's cross-river traffic network. After opening to traffic, the land transit time from Zhuhai to Jiangmen will be shortened from more than one hour to about 30 minutes.Today's key financial news reminds us (the following are all Beijing time) that ① the total amount of M2 money supply, new RMB loans and financing in China in November may be released; ② At 15: 00, Andrew Hauser, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, gave a speech at ABE Annual Banquet; ③ Time to be determined: OPEC publishes monthly crude oil market report; 4 21: 30 US CPI; in November; ⑤ At 22: 45, the Bank of Canada issued a policy interest rate; ⑥ At 23: 30, us energy information administration (EIA) released the weekly report of government crude oil inventory; 7. The next day at 03:00, the U.S. government budget for November; (8) Adobe released a performance report after the US stock market closed; 9 At 05:30 the next day, the Brazilian central bank announced the Selic policy interest rate; Attending the speech of Assistant Chairman Jones of Reserve Bank of Australia at 06:15 the next day.Since the beginning of this year, six small and medium-sized banks have "refused to redeem" tier-2 capital bonds. On December 9, Yingkou Bank Co., Ltd. announced that when the 10-year tier-2 capital bonds issued by the bank in 2019 had expired, the bank chose not to redeem the bonds. In fact, a number of commercial banks have announced this year that they will not exercise the right to redeem secondary capital bonds, mainly small and medium-sized banks. The insiders believe that there are two main reasons why banks choose not to redeem secondary capital bonds. First, it is difficult for banks to refinance and issue capital replenishment tools due to factors such as high cost of new bonds and declining profitability. Second, the bank's capital adequacy ratio has been at a low level, and some banks' capital adequacy ratio has been lower than the regulatory requirements before redemption, and the capital level may further decline after exercising the redemption right. (Securities Daily)
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14